Manafort Gave Internal Campaign Polling Data to a Russian Intelligence Officer.

Paul Manafort was Trump's campaign chairman from June to August 2016 — the period when Russian interference was most active. During that time, Manafort shared internal campaign polling data and strategic information with Konstantin Kilimnik. The Senate Intelligence Committee assessed Kilimnik to be a Russian intelligence officer and called Manafort's conduct "a grave counterintelligence threat." Trump later pardoned Manafort.

← all posts

The Mueller Report initially described Kilimnik as having "ties to Russian intelligence" — language that understated what the Senate Intelligence Committee later concluded. The Senate's bipartisan report, released in August 2020 after reviewing classified material Mueller's team did not have full access to, was unambiguous: Kilimnik was a Russian intelligence officer, and Manafort's sharing of non-public campaign data with him was among the most serious counterintelligence findings of the entire investigation.

What Was Shared.

Manafort shared internal polling data — including data on battleground states — with Kilimnik during the 2016 campaign. He also shared campaign strategy information. The Senate report concluded this data could have been used by Russian intelligence to help target their influence operations more effectively. Manafort did this while serving as campaign chairman, for free — he waived his campaign salary. He had previously worked for years for Ukrainian political figures aligned with Russian interests and owed millions to Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska.

Why Manafort Worked for Free.

Manafort was deeply in debt to Deripaska when he joined the Trump campaign. Prosecutors argued — and Manafort was convicted of — multiple financial crimes related to his Ukrainian lobbying work, including bank fraud and tax fraud. The question of why a man in that financial position worked for free on a presidential campaign was never fully resolved publicly. Manafort's cooperation agreement with Mueller collapsed after prosecutors said he lied to investigators repeatedly.

Verification note

The Kilimnik assessment comes from the Senate Intelligence Committee's bipartisan Volume 5 report, released August 18, 2020. The "grave counterintelligence threat" language is verbatim from that report. Manafort's conviction on 8 counts and subsequent pardon are matters of public record.

Trump pardoned Manafort in December 2020, just weeks before leaving office — after Manafort had already been convicted and sentenced to 7.5 years in federal prison. The pardon erased Manafort's federal convictions. New York state prosecutors had also brought charges; those were eventually dropped. Manafort paid no additional prison time beyond what he had already served.

The Sources
  • Senate Intelligence Committee Report, Volume 5, August 18, 2020 — Kilimnik assessment as Russian intelligence officer; "grave counterintelligence threat" language.
  • Mueller Report, Volume I — Manafort/Kilimnik contacts documented throughout; Kilimnik described as having "ties to Russian intelligence."
  • DOJ — Manafort convicted August 2018 on 8 counts of bank fraud and tax fraud; sentenced February 2019.
  • Trump pardon of Manafort — December 23, 2020, confirmed by White House statement.
previous post← Don Jr.'s Trump Tower Meeting. next postPapadopoulos Lied to the FBI. →